Shortly before Putin started dropping hints that the war in Ukraine is “coming to an end”, Dossier.Center published a leaked presentation reportedly shown to a narrow circle close to Sergey Kiriyenko on Staraya Square in late winter 2026. The presentation is about how the Kremlin plans to “sell” a peace agreement with Ukraine to the Russian people.
Sergey Kiriyenko has served as First Deputy Chief of Staff of the Presidential Administration of Russia since 2016. He is regarded as one of the Kremlin’s most influential domestic-policy strategists.
Dossier Center is a Russian investigative journalism and anti-corruption project founded by the Russian opposition figure and former head of Yukos Oil Company – Mikhail Khodorkovsky. It focuses primarily on investigations into the Kremlin, oligarchs, corruption networks and Russian influence operations abroad.
According to sources of Dorrier.Center the Russian administration has already started developing “image of victory” narratives to “sell” a peace agreement with Ukraine to the Russian public.
Below are the slides published by Dossier.Center and their translation in English:
After the Victory
RISKS
WWII remains the only reference image of VICTORY in the public consciousness
BUT THIS TIME IT WILL BE DIFFERENT.
- There will be no “Act of Capitulation.” Wars have not ended that way for a long time. Even World War II continued after Germany’s capitulation and before Japan’s surrender.
- There will be no “capture of Kyiv.” Such a goal was never officially set.
- “Denazification” is being carried out on the battlefield.
- At the moment of a framework agreement, Zelensky will most likely remain in power.
- In the information space, victory will not belong to one side only. The US, the West, and Ukraine will present their own version of victory.
This could already be seen in the situation involving Iran, the US and Israel in summer 2025.
Western media are already preparing the narrative: “Ukraine’s survival is its victory.” - Most likely, there will first be a framework agreement.
A framework agreement is standard practice for complex conflicts.
However, it can easily be interpreted as a “Khasavyurt” or “new Minsk agreements.” - The agreement will be, to some extent, a compromise.
Most Likely Scenario
- FORMAT: A framework peace agreement. Possibly between the US and Russia, and between the US and Ukraine.
- TERRITORIES: Transfer of all Donetsk People’s Republic and Luhansk People’s Republic territories to Russia. Frontline freezing in the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions. Withdrawal of Russian troops from parts of the Sumy and Kharkiv regions.
- DEMILITARIZATION: Neutral status. Buffer zone.
- DENAZIFICATION: Symbolic and limited.
- SANCTIONS: The US will lift sanctions. European sanctions will remain.
- MONEY: Part of the frozen assets will go toward restoring territories affected by the war in both Ukraine and Russia.
Image of Victory: Argumentation
The peace achieved by Putin is a huge victory
Putin forced the West to bend. We disrupted the West’s plans for expansion and for dragging out the conflict.
Victory over whom?
Over international imperialism and globalism. We defeated not Ukrainian nationalism, but something much stronger and more capable – the collective West.
Victory for what?
For the protection of our compatriots and Russian people in Donbas.
This is a huge achievement – Russia protected Russians and showed that it does not abandon its own people.
A shield was created for Russian speakers across all of Ukraine.
Russia has won and gained a great deal
Russia’s gains are territory, people, and resources.
Russia controls most of the territory of Ukraine (117,000 sq km), which equals the combined area of Bulgaria, Greece and North Korea.
These territories contain enormous natural resources – coal and rare earth metals.
There is especially fertile soil in the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions.
There is now a land corridor to Crimea. Russia obtained the entire coast of the Sea of Azov. These are new resort and recreation zones for millions of Russians.
This means millions of new citizens, including a Russian population.
The masks have fallen, everything is now in its place
The whole world understood who was right and who was guilty.
We showed everyone that we are stronger, superior and more intelligent.
Ukrainian Nazis revealed themselves as Nazis, accomplices and moral freaks.
A real “coming out” of the Ukrainian elites took place.
There will be no Ukraine after defeat
Ukraine has no prospects. Yes, politicians do not say this openly, but Ukraine will disappear within 10-15 years.
People are leaving, there is no money, debts are enormous, enterprises are not functioning and will not recover. Everything has been sold off.
The EU will stagnate after defeat
The EU demonstrated helplessness. Brussels dragged member states into an unnecessary and disadvantageous confrontation with Moscow.
All EU countries only suffered economically from this confrontation.
The EU is divided.
Respect for the winner
Most of the world supported us. During the “special military operation,” our neighbours seemed to help us while also testing our strength. But after victory, that is now in the past.
In the future, our victory may lead to integration around Russia.
One must know when to stop
Overreaching means defeat. Continuing the “special military operation” would become a Pyrrhic victory.
Strength lies in unity
Those who used to be the so-called elite fled after betraying the country.
Russia has cleansed itself and united – this is our victory.
The joys of victory
Airports will reopen, sanctions will be lifted and trade will develop.
For the military-industrial complex, it is especially important that Russian weapons passed the test of endurance, and orders for Russian weapons and food products will once again become large.
Pride Narrative: Key Theses
Hooray! Russia won. This is indisputable.
- Russia defended its independence and uniqueness, and its right to determine its own destiny. Victory confirms the correctness of our path.
- And the right of all countries to sovereignty. We changed the world. Russia insisted that in the “new world order,” everyone must be heard, every point of view, every nation, society, culture, worldview, idea, and religion must be taken into account – without imposing a single truth on anyone. Only on this basis, understanding responsibility for destiny – the destiny of peoples and the planet – can a symphony of human civilization be built. (V. Putin, 2022).
- Russia defended justice. We saved our own people. We prevented a humanitarian catastrophe in Donbas.
- Russia’s strength has been recognized worldwide. Russia withstood confrontation against 50 countries in a global conflict. Nazism and globalism bowed before our power.
- We achieved the maximum result without general mobilization and without fully converting the economy and all aspects of life onto a wartime footing.
- We gained territories and achieved recognition.
Whoever devalues victory is not a patriot of Russia.
We believe in the President. He outplayed everyone again! Putin knows what he is doing better than anyone else.
We are proud of our people. Warrior-victors. An immortal feat.
- Our army proved to be the most combat-capable in the world, successfully resisting the full power of the West.
- We became more united as a society – this too is a victory.
- Military, labor and spiritual achievements of ordinary people expanded Russia’s capabilities. We also learned that anyone can become a “great person.”
Framing
- Festive events
- Awards and decorations
- Congratulatory messages from senior officials
- Interpretation of the meaning of unconditional victory
- Meetings with veterans
- Mourning and memorials
Signal to ultra-patriotic opinion leaders, including about the inadmissibility of “discreditation”.
Future Gains Narrative: Key Theses
Finally, we are returning to normal life.
- Life is becoming safe and comfortable again. Finally, air raid alarms, terrorist attacks on airports and residential areas have ended and normal mobile communication has been restored. People no longer need to fear for themselves and their children.
- Resources and attention are shifting back to ordinary day-to-day issues affecting people locally.
- Stability is immediately felt. There will be no new taxes.
- Opportunities to travel are reopening and goods are returning.
Russia gained a great deal. Russia acquired a macro-region with enormous economic potential.
Spending on reconstruction is insignificant compared to the gains.
- Historical territories with a population of around 5 million people became part of Russia.
- The Sea of Azov became an internal Russian sea.
- These territories previously generated up to 30% of Ukraine’s GDP. Their economic integration is now underway.
- Reliable water supply for Crimea, Sevastopol and Donetsk has been secured.
- Proven reserves of hard coal in the DPR are estimated at approximately 10 billion tons.
- The new territories could bring an additional minimum of 5 million tons of grain annually.
- The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant is the largest in Europe, with a capacity of 6 GW.
- Sanctions were costly for Europe.
- Strengthening of the national currency.
- Russia continued socio-economic development, opened new markets, and secured technological sovereignty.
It is time to think about the future. The country has a great future.
- Understanding of market and technology prospects
- BRICS opportunities. Opportunities for children and youth, including in education.
Framing
- Discussions about the future, round tables, forums, etc.
- Positive news
- Amnesty
- Restoration of communications, flights, etc.
For the Sake of Life: Key Theses
A bad peace is better than a good quarrel.
Victory means that blood will no longer be shed.
A peace that saves lives and allows movement toward the future is victory.
Our forces will be directed toward solving peaceful problems and controlling threats.
Ukraine is not the country’s only concern – there are many future tasks ahead.
Strength and resources are needed to develop the vast territories of the Far East, Siberia, and the Arctic.
Only Europe needs continuation of the conflict, having insisted on exhausting Russia.
The signs of crisis are already being felt. Collapse must not be allowed.
“Blessed are the peacemakers, for they shall be called sons of God.”
Putin repeatedly proposed peace and stopped military actions as soon as it became possible.
Putin and Trump are praised here, while Biden is described in a derogatory and provocative way in the original text.
The heroes of the “special military operation” died fighting for a peaceful sky above our heads.
By restoring peace, we ensure that their sacrifice was not in vain.
Framing
- Festive events
- Online flash mobs
- Criticism of narratives promoted by European hardliners and foreign opposition figures, intended to show the inadmissibility of advocating for continuation of the conflict
Projects
1. Narrative-Shaping Sociology
2. Online Campaigns – Victory and Memory of the Fallen
3. The Future is Everywhere
Discussions, round tables, a stream of news about normalisation, reports on the implementation of social projects and the development of social infrastructure.
IT, pharmaceuticalsa and creative industries as different markers of development.
4. “A Celebration with Tears in the Eyes”
- Congratulatory messages from leadership
- Festive events
- Moments of silence and remembrance of the fallen
5. Integrative Project – “Russia’s Victories”
A complex of media formats describing different ways conflicts end, including developing the idea of capitulation as one possible form of Russia’s victories outside the Patriotic Wars of 1812 and 1945.
Linking to historical victory dates (for example, in the Far East – the annexation of territories under the Aigun Treaty, etc.).
Educational component – lectures and round tables, debates and other projects about the different forms victory can take (with the “Znanie” society, the academic community, and popular history bloggers).
6. “Russia After Victory”
Introduction of a futurist agenda dedicated to post-war development.
A series of round tables, media discussions, and articles.
In different variations: victory, gain, success.
Series of lectures and media formats: “We have won. The next step is the future. What will it look like?” (with the “Znanie” society, “Sirius,” regional “Boiling Points,” blogs, and documentary series)
Leave a Reply